Lesson 19: Changing Your View Of Your World: Slide  21

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To What Extent Does Your Past Determine Your Future?

  • We cannot quantify the future because it is not known
  • We use numbers to examine what happened in the past and try to predict the future
  • To what degree should you rely on the patterns of the past to tell you what your future will be like after experiencing addiction?
  • Which matters more when facing a relapse risk:
  • The facts as we see them?
  • Our subjective belief?
  • Can we use both approaches?

Notes:

Pg. 6, “Against The Gods The Remarkable Story of Risk,” Peter L. Bernstein, John Wiley and Sons, Inc. , 1996

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